{"id":9041,"date":"2026-09-14T13:52:30","date_gmt":"2026-09-14T13:52:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mznoticia.com.br\/castro\/?p=9041"},"modified":"2026-09-14T13:52:30","modified_gmt":"2026-09-14T13:52:30","slug":"quaest-lula-tem-36-e-flavio-bolsonaro-31-no-1o-turno","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mznoticia.com.br\/castro\/quaest-lula-tem-36-e-flavio-bolsonaro-31-no-1o-turno\/","title":{"rendered":"Quaest: Lula tem 36% e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro 31% no 1\u00ba turno"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Pesquisa divulgada nesta segunda-feira (14) mostra Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro numericamente \u00e0 frente de Lula no segundo turno, em situa\u00e7\u00e3o de empate t\u00e9cnico<\/h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Pesquisa Quaest divulgada nesta segunda-feira (14) sobre a elei\u00e7\u00e3o presidencial mostra <strong>Lula (PT) com 36% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto<\/strong>, enquanto <strong>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL) aparece com 31%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Na sequ\u00eancia est\u00e3o <strong>Augusto Cury (Avante), com 7%<\/strong>, <strong>Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o), com 4%<\/strong>, <strong>Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), com 4%<\/strong>, e <strong>Romeu Zema (Novo), com 1%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao levantamento divulgado em 7 de setembro, Lula manteve os 36%, enquanto Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro oscilou de 29% para 31%. Com isso, a dist\u00e2ncia entre os dois passou de sete para cinco pontos percentuais.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Augusto Cury oscilou de 8% para 7%. Ele est\u00e1 tecnicamente empatado com Renan Santos e Ronaldo Caiado. Os dois candidatos com 4% tamb\u00e9m est\u00e3o em empate t\u00e9cnico com Zema, que aparece com 1%.<\/p>\n<h2>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro aparece \u00e0 frente no segundo turno<\/h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Na simula\u00e7\u00e3o de segundo turno, <strong>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro aparece numericamente \u00e0 frente de Lula<\/strong>, situa\u00e7\u00e3o que n\u00e3o ocorria desde abril na s\u00e9rie de pesquisas da Quaest.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">O cen\u00e1rio, no entanto, \u00e9 de <strong>empate t\u00e9cnico<\/strong>. Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro aparece com <strong>42%<\/strong>, contra <strong>40% de Lula<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2>N\u00fameros do primeiro turno<\/h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Na pesquisa estimulada, em que os entrevistados recebem os nomes dos candidatos, os resultados foram:<\/p>\n<ul data-spread=\"false\">\n<li><strong>Lula (PT): 36%<\/strong> \u2014 eram 36% em 7 de setembro;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL): 31%<\/strong> \u2014 eram 29%;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Augusto Cury (Avante): 7%<\/strong> \u2014 eram 8%;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o): 4%<\/strong> \u2014 era 3%;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 4%<\/strong> \u2014 era 3%;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Romeu Zema (Novo): 1%<\/strong> \u2014 eram 2%;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Clariana Bar\u00e3o (DC): 0%<\/strong> \u2014 era zero;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Edmilson Costa (PCB): 0%<\/strong> \u2014 era zero;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Hertz Dias (PSTU): 0%<\/strong> \u2014 era zero;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO): 0%<\/strong> \u2014 era zero;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Samara Martins (UP): 0%<\/strong> \u2014 era 1%;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Veterin\u00e1rio Wilson Grassi (Democrata): 0%<\/strong> \u2014 era zero;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Indecisos: 10%<\/strong> \u2014 eram 10%;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Branco\/nulo\/n\u00e3o vai votar: 7%<\/strong> \u2014 eram 8%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Grau de decis\u00e3o do voto<\/h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Entre os entrevistados que indicaram um candidato, <strong>73% afirmam que a escolha \u00e9 definitiva<\/strong>, enquanto <strong>27% dizem que ainda podem mudar de voto<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Na pesquisa anterior, realizada em 7 de setembro, os percentuais eram de 71% para escolha definitiva e 29% para quem ainda poderia mudar.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Os n\u00fameros s\u00e3o:<\/p>\n<ul data-spread=\"false\">\n<li><strong>Escolha definitiva: 73%<\/strong> \u2014 eram 71%;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ainda pode mudar: 27%<\/strong> \u2014 eram 29%;<\/li>\n<li><strong>N\u00e3o sabem\/n\u00e3o responderam: 0%<\/strong> \u2014 era zero.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Entre os eleitores de Lula, <strong>80%<\/strong> consideram a escolha definitiva. Entre os eleitores de Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro, s\u00e3o <strong>72%<\/strong>, enquanto entre os de Augusto Cury o percentual \u00e9 de <strong>60%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3>Voto considerado definitivo por candidato<\/h3>\n<ul data-spread=\"false\">\n<li><strong>Lula: 80%<\/strong> \u2014 eram 80% em 7 de setembro;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro: 72%<\/strong> \u2014 eram 78%;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Augusto Cury: 60%<\/strong> \u2014 eram 49%;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ronaldo Caiado: 55%<\/strong> \u2014 eram 39%;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Renan Santos: 53%<\/strong> \u2014 eram 40%;<\/li>\n<li><strong>Romeu Zema: 36%<\/strong> \u2014 eram 35%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Metodologia<\/h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">A Quaest entrevistou <strong>2.004 pessoas com 16 anos ou mais<\/strong>, em todo o pa\u00eds, entre os dias <strong>10 e 13 de setembro<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">A margem de erro \u00e9 de <strong>dois pontos percentuais para mais ou para menos<\/strong>, com n\u00edvel de confian\u00e7a de <strong>95%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>A pesquisa foi registrada no Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) sob o n\u00famero <strong>BR-03607\/2026<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pesquisa divulgada nesta segunda-feira (14) mostra Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro numericamente \u00e0 frente de Lula no segundo turno, em situa\u00e7\u00e3o de empate t\u00e9cnico Pesquisa Quaest divulgada nesta segunda-feira (14) sobre a elei\u00e7\u00e3o presidencial mostra Lula (PT) com 36% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto, enquanto Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL) aparece com 31%. Na sequ\u00eancia est\u00e3o Augusto Cury (Avante), com 7%, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":9042,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[309],"tags":[3391,47,414,2568,413,412,415,2056,1541,3106,419,418,417,416],"class_list":["post-9041","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-eleicoes","tag-augusto-cury","tag-destaque","tag-eleicoes-2026","tag-eleicoes-presidenciais","tag-flavio-bolsonaro","tag-lula","tag-pesquisa-eleitoral","tag-politica-brasileira","tag-primeiro-turno","tag-quaest","tag-renan-santos","tag-romeu-zema","tag-ronaldo-caiado","tag-segundo-turno"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Quaest: Lula tem 36% e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro 31% no 1\u00ba turno - Mz Not\u00edcias<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pesquisa Quaest mostra Lula com 36% e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro com 31% no primeiro turno. 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