{"id":9687,"date":"2026-09-25T16:13:40","date_gmt":"2026-09-25T16:13:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mznoticia.com.br\/piraidosul\/?p=9687"},"modified":"2026-09-25T16:13:40","modified_gmt":"2026-09-25T16:13:40","slug":"datafolha-aponta-lula-com-40-e-flavio-bolsonaro-com-36-no-1o-turno","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mznoticia.com.br\/piraidosul\/datafolha-aponta-lula-com-40-e-flavio-bolsonaro-com-36-no-1o-turno\/","title":{"rendered":"Datafolha aponta Lula com 40% e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro com 36% no 1\u00ba turno"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Pesquisa mostra os dois candidatos dentro da margem de erro; em eventual segundo turno, Lula aparece com 47% e Fl\u00e1vio com 45%<\/h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Pesquisa Datafolha divulgada nesta quinta-feira (24) mostra o presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT), candidato \u00e0 reelei\u00e7\u00e3o, com 40% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto para o primeiro turno da elei\u00e7\u00e3o presidencial. Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL) aparece com 36%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Como a margem de erro \u00e9 de dois pontos percentuais para mais ou para menos, os resultados est\u00e3o dentro do intervalo de empate t\u00e9cnico.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Na pesquisa anterior, Lula tinha 39% e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro, 36%.<\/p>\n<h3>Outros candidatos<\/h3>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Augusto Cury (Avante) aparece com 5%, seguido por Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), com 4%, e Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o), com 3%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Romeu Zema (Novo) e Samara Martins (UP) registram 1% cada. Os demais candidatos aparecem com 0% ou n\u00e3o atingiram 1%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Primeiro turno:<\/p>\n<ul data-spread=\"false\">\n<li>Lula (PT): 40%<\/li>\n<li>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL): 36%<\/li>\n<li>Augusto Cury (Avante): 5%<\/li>\n<li>Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 4%<\/li>\n<li>Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o): 3%<\/li>\n<li>Romeu Zema (Novo): 1%<\/li>\n<li>Samara Martins (UP): 1%<\/li>\n<li>Em branco\/nulo\/nenhum: 5%<\/li>\n<li>Indecisos: 2%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>Cen\u00e1rio de segundo turno<\/h3>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Em uma simula\u00e7\u00e3o de segundo turno entre Lula e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro, o Datafolha registra 47% para Lula e 45% para Fl\u00e1vio. Considerando a margem de erro de dois pontos percentuais, os resultados tamb\u00e9m est\u00e3o dentro do intervalo de empate t\u00e9cnico.<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">Nos demais cen\u00e1rios testados:<\/p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\"><strong>Lula x Ronaldo Caiado<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-spread=\"false\">\n<li>Lula: 46%<\/li>\n<li>Caiado: 44%<\/li>\n<li>Branco\/nulo\/nenhum: 9%<\/li>\n<li>Indecisos: 1%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\"><strong>Lula x Romeu Zema<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-spread=\"false\">\n<li>Lula: 48%<\/li>\n<li>Zema: 39%<\/li>\n<li>Branco\/nulo\/nenhum: 11%<\/li>\n<li>Indecisos: 1%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\"><strong>Lula x Renan Santos<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-spread=\"false\">\n<li>Lula: 48%<\/li>\n<li>Renan Santos: 39%<\/li>\n<li>Branco\/nulo\/nenhum: 12%<\/li>\n<li>Indecisos: 2%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\"><strong>Lula x Augusto Cury<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-spread=\"false\">\n<li>Lula: 46%<\/li>\n<li>Augusto Cury: 43%<\/li>\n<li>Branco\/nulo\/nenhum: 9%<\/li>\n<li>Indecisos: 1%<br \/>\n<h3>Metodologia<\/h3>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">O Datafolha entrevistou 2.002 pessoas com 16 anos ou mais, presencialmente, nos dias 22 e 23 de setembro de 2026.<\/p>\n<p>A margem de erro \u00e9 de 2 pontos percentuais para mais ou para menos, com n\u00edvel de confian\u00e7a de 95%. A pesquisa foi contratada pela Folha de S.Paulo e pela TV Globo e est\u00e1 registrada no Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) sob o n\u00famero BR-00304\/2026.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pesquisa mostra os dois candidatos dentro da margem de erro; em eventual segundo turno, Lula aparece com 47% e Fl\u00e1vio com 45% Pesquisa Datafolha divulgada nesta quinta-feira (24) mostra o presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT), candidato \u00e0 reelei\u00e7\u00e3o, com 40% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto para o primeiro turno da elei\u00e7\u00e3o presidencial. Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":9688,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[288],"tags":[82,4493,395,394,3324,393,396,370,736,1442,397],"class_list":["post-9687","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-eleicoes","tag-brasil","tag-datafolha","tag-eleicoes-2026","tag-flavio-bolsonaro","tag-intencao-de-voto","tag-lula","tag-pesquisa-eleitoral","tag-politica","tag-presidencia-da-republica","tag-primeiro-turno","tag-segundo-turno"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Datafolha aponta Lula com 40% e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro com 36% no 1\u00ba turno - Mz Not\u00edcias<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pesquisa Datafolha mostra Lula com 40% e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro com 36% no primeiro turno; 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